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    Maple Leaf Memo

    What’s with Canada and the word fair, in all its forms? “Tax Fairness Plan.” “Our Fair Share.” Are we looking at another Halloween ruined?


    Maple Leaf Memo

    Prime Minister Stephen Harper intends to announce his presence with authority in his Speech from the Throne, which will outline a renewed parliamentary session.


    Maple Leaf Memo

    Prime Minister Stephen Harper confirmed last week that his minority Conservative government will address issues regarding foreign acquisitions of Canadian assets involving state-owned enterprises but also said the proposed takeover of PrimeWest Energy Trust by the Abu Dhabi National Energy Co, or TAQA, would be reviewed under existing rules, as set out in the Investment Canada Act.


    Alberta's energy development strategies have come under fire lately. The answer: the Alberta Royalty Review Panel's proposed Our Fair Share program.


    How They Rate

    The world for Canadian trusts changed on Oct. 31, when Finance Minister Jim Flaherty proposed taxing them as corporations beginning in 2011. As was the case before the proposal was issued, the most-important factor for determining how profitable a trust will be remains its business. A trust that’s backed by a healthy business will fare well whether it has to pay corporate taxes or not. In contrast, trusts backed by weak businesses are doomed to fail no matter how favorable the tax regime.



    There's still danger in the energy sector as natural gas production remains flat on its back. And the falling US dollar is creating hardships for Candian trusts. But the strongest continue to pay reliable dividends.


    Cheap Energy

    Since November 2006, there have been three dozen buyouts of Canadian trusts. Although none of the deals offered large premiums on the target, acquirers will do just fine because they add reserves and production at a discount.


    Oil and Gas Reserve Life

    Oil and gas producers have always been the most-volatile trusts. That’s now doubly true in view of the potential tax changes for trusts in 2011 and beyond. The good news is energy prices are bouncing back, energy trusts are dirt cheap and most have now adopted more conservative payout policies.



    Vault Energy (VNG.UN, VNGFF) escapes the Canadian Edge Dividend Watch List this month, thanks to a takeover offer from core energy holding Penn West Energy Trust (PWT.UN, NYSE: PWE). The deal calls for each unit of Vault to be exchanged for 0.14 shares of Penn West.


    Difference Makers

    Natural gas lags while oil soars. Some trusts win high-premium takeover bids, while others collapse following sharp dividend cuts. The rising Canadian dollar lifts share prices and dividends, yet pulls the rug out from under some trusts’ businesses.




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